India’s monsoon onset could be delayed

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monsoonNew Delhi (Big Wire) Annual monsoon rains could arrive over the southern Kerala coast by a week later than the normal date of June 1, said the India Meteorological Department on Sunday.

The statistical model forecast suggests that the monsoon onset over Kerala in this year is likely to be slightly delayed, the weather office said in a statement.
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The onset forecast for the South-West monsoon has a model error of plus and minus four days. The June-September monsoon rains are considered to be the lifeline of farm-dependent Indian economy.

YearActual onset dateForecast onset day
2015June 5May 30
2014June 6June 5
2013June 1June 3
2012June 5June 1
2011May 29May 31
In April, the weather office had forecast a surplus summer rain season in 2016, improving market sentiments after the last two straight years of a bad monsoon that caused droughts in many parts of the country.

Big Wire

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